Draft Central

How picks are graded. Every QB, RB, WR, and TE pick gets a value score (Δ): where the player was taken among his position that year versus where he finished. Drafted as the 12th RB off the board but finished as the RB3? That's Δ +9 — a steal. Taken as the QB2 but finished QB20? Δ −18 — a bust. In the auction era, draft order at a position is set by price paid instead of pick number, so the same scale works across both formats. Kickers and defenses aren't graded.

Downside is capped at replacement level: if a player finishes worse than the number of players drafted at his position that year (roughly WR65, RB53, QB19, TE17), his finish is treated as that line — once a player falls out of the draftable pool entirely, WR175 vs WR239 is meaningless, but the draft capital spent on him still counts.

Even with the cap, deltas skew slightly negative (an injury can erase a pick, but a hit can only beat his slot by so much) — the all-time hit rate is about 40%, so anyone above that is genuinely beating the board.